I’m playing in the $2,000 Saturday game and the $600 Graded Stakes Survivor game this afternoon on DerbyWars. I’ll update with where I stand in each as the tournaments progress. Let’s hope for some good handicapping and a little bit of luck today.
4:52 PM ET
The first race in the $2K game is the 4th at Santa Anita, a $75K maiden claimer going 6 1/2 furlongs down the hill on the turf. Lot of lightly raced fillies in this one…I like 3 – Paris Affair at 16/1 with 4 MTP. Drop in class from MSW to MC, second start off the layoff. Respectable first effort down the hill last out, hoping for a step forward in this one.
5:39 PM ET
Just had a nice 6-1 winner in Racy Rosa at Santa Anita…it took her seven starts to break her maiden, but sometimes it can just “click” and horses can come right back and win, especially against a mediocre crew. I’ve got Channel Lady in the Honey Fox at Gulfstream – I’ll have standings following the completion of that race.
5:48 PM ET
Centre Court was a facile winner in the Honey Fox. I was on Channel Lady in both the $2K and the Survivor, so Survivor is already over for me. The good news is I’m sitting 14th at the moment in the $2K with $29.20. The leader is sitting at $63.40, so while there is still quite a bit of work to do, there’s still plenty of time. We’re coming up on the fifth race of the tournament, which is the sixth at Santa Anita.
5:56 PM ET
I love the 3 – Tribalicious at 5-1 with 5 MTP at the moment. I don’t think I’ll actually get that price, probably end up being closer to 3-1, 7-2. Spawr’s numbers off the claim are outstanding, and if Gary Stevens has the mount, you’ve gotta imagine Tribalicious is ready to roll off the four and a half month layoff.
6:17 PM ET
Another nice priced winner for me with El Tuscano in the nightcap at Gulfstream. Going off at 7-1 Javier Castellano had to have his colt in an all out drive for the final quarter mile, just getting up in the shadow of the wire. At Santa Anita, Tribalicious ran a respectable third, but that doesn’t help me out. I’m not sure what the standings look like just yet, but I think we’re in decent shape right now…”stalking the pace setters”.
6:28 PM ET
We’re sitting 7th right now with $54.00. The leader is currently at $80.60, so I’ve still got ground to make up – and the next two races aren’t the places where I’m going to do that. In the Azeri, I’m taking Don’t Tell Sophia for two reasons…1) she’s 2 for 2 over the Oaklawn dirt, while My Miss Aurelia has never run over the surface; 2) she’s a slightly better price. As far as the Santa Margarita is concerned, I love More Chocolate. I figure she’ll be forwardly placed, but I don’t think she has to be right up on the lead. Hopefully she works out a nice, stalking trip and can take down the W.
6:51 PM ET
Joyful Victory is developing into a serious, serious racehorse. She looks like she’s fully developed and matured, and she is going to be a handful in any race up to nine furlongs this season. Tiz Miz Sue is a nice mare, but can we be real for a second – My Miss Aurelia isn’t the superhorse many people have made her out to be. If you go back and look at her figures, she’s really only run two fast races. No question she’s consistent – but she just hasn’t run that many really fast races. I thought the same thing about Union Rags and his career – a steady, consistent performer, but he never ran a truly fast race in his life. As for the tournament, I’m sitting in 12th with $60.60. The lead has remained unchanged at $80.60, but it’s anyone’s tournament to win. If I’m right with the two plays I blogged earlier this weekend (Carve in the Rebel, Bright Thought in the San Luis Rey), I could create some separation from the pack…but that’s only if I’m right. Fingers crossed…
7:30 PM ET
Bright Thought is a turf superstar in the making. He absolutely toyed with the competition in the San Luis Rey, and his future is incredibly bright. As far as the Rebel is concerned, I don’t want any horse coming out of that race. Will Take Charge ran wonderfully, and Oxbow ran a hard fought second – but I still don’t want any of those horses going forward. The pace was by no means blistering, yet the leaders still wilted. I just didn’t think it was an overwhelming race as a whole. Tournament wise, the 28-1 victory for Will Take Charge has blown up the leaderboard…I’m 15th with $73.80, and the leader is at $123.60. I’ve got no choice but to go for the hail mary in the last race of the day…bet and hope!